Based on our research and that of our affiliates, we will be selecting up to three “Key States” in which to focus our 2020 efforts.
As of February 1, 2020, we have selected Arizona as our first Key State. Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania rank high among possible future choices once the primaries are over.
A growing Latino population and large influx of newcomers challenge a long history of Republican domination in Arizona and make it a flippable state for all three of our priorities.
Those priorities are:
1. The presidency
2. The U.S. Senate
3. State legislatures that will configure Congressional Districts for the next ten years.
The nearly 4.5 million residents of Maricopa County (Phoenix/Mesa/Scottsdale metropolitan areas) represent more than 50% of the state’s population. U.S. Census Bureau statistics place Maricopa County’s Hispanic population at nearly one-third of the county’s total population. Approximately 25% of Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale residents Spanish and over 90% are U.S. citizens.
Challenges exist in Arizona, to be sure, including new voting restrictions adopted in 2019 by the GOP-controlled state legislature. The new law was enacted in response to 2018 early voting numbers (particularly in Maricopa County) that exceeded the total 2014 turnout.
Arizona’s battleground U.S. Senate race is for the seat vacated by John McCain to which Republican Martha McSally has been appointed. McSally’s Democratic opponent is 56-year old Mark Kelly who entered politics after the 2011 shooting of his wife, former Congresswoman Gabby Giffords.
In the state legislature, Swing Left is targeting Senate Districts 6, 17, 20 and House Districts LD 6, 17 and 20. These overlapping districts, clustered near the Phoenix metro area along with additional targets northeast of Phoenix are considered to have been key to Kyrsten Sinema’s U.S. Senate victory in 2018. The Purple States Report of EveryDistrict.us ranks the Arizona House and Senate the 5th and 6th most winnable state houses.
Arizona voters must register at least 29 days before the election, and residency must be established 29 days prior as well. Registration is permitted online, in person at the county recorder's office, or by mail. Proof of residency is required for state and local elections.